2001: Cyber Space Odyssey

 

The internet in the UK election

 

 

 

 

Edited by Stephen Coleman

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The Hansard Society

July 2001

www.hansardsociety.org.uk

hansard@hansard.lse.ac.uk

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The 2001 election online and the future of e-politics

Stephen Coleman

 

Great Expectations

Described variously as a non-event, the dog that didn’t bark and a flop, the UK’s first ‘net election’ shocked all but the wise and sober in failing to re-fashion the landscape of British electoral politics. As in the United States six months earlier, the reality of the first election in which the internet played a role undermined the excessive expectations and heady rhetoric of the e-vanguard.

But what did anyone expect? What seismic changes were claimed for e-politics? How seriously should they be taken?

‘The internet will change the way politics works and will re-balance the relationship between voters and the politicians.’ (James Crabtree, head of Industrial Society’s iSociety Programme, Independent, 14 May 2001)

When campaigns are waged through virtual conversations between candidates and voters, the voters will be able to probe and ask detailed questions in order to get at the truth … These virtual conversations will be key elements in future campaigns. There will be no one message. In politics, one size will no longer fit all. Voters will not have to eavesdrop on interviews between the press and the candidate. They will be the interviewer, getting personalized and tailored responses to each inquiry, not unlike what the reporter gets in today’s televised interview.’ (Dick Morris, former strategic adviser to President Bill Clinton, Vote.com, pp.114-5)

‘This election may not be the UK’s first wired election, but it’s already more than a dry run. In some marginal seats, it could, even now, shape the results: where a few hundred votes decide between victory and defeat, having the right email list could make all the difference.’ (Sir Paddy Ashdown, forward to VoxPolitics Primer)

The fact that politics has not been transformed – relationships rebalanced, citizens empowered, virtual conversations initiated, seats won or lost – because of the internet is hardly a surprise or a disappointment. After all, the mighty medium of television, which has dominated British politics for over 40 years, has had no such effect. In short, it is quite possible to argue that the internet is re-shaping politics without expecting it to transform politics within the course of one four-week election campaign.

Rather than searching for the miraculous and transformative qualities of the internet, this report sets out to:

1959 Revisited

In 1959, Britain had its first ‘TV election’. Or, more accurately, it was the first British election campaign to be covered on TV. In 1947, there were only 15,000 TV sets in Britain - by 1950 there were 350,000, but the BBC (as the only TV broadcaster) had entered into an agreement with the Government not to cover election campaigns in case they influenced voters.

By 1959, the landscape had changed in three ways: there were 11 million TV sets in Britain (following the mass purchase of sets at the time of the Coronation); there were two national TV channels, BBC and ITV (established in 1954); and, after the opening of critical TV debate during the Suez crisis and ITV’s coverage of the 1958 Rochdale by-election, broadcasters felt brave enough to cover the election campaign.

The televised campaign of 1959 was regarded as a watershed in the relationship between politicians and the voters. Treneman and McQuail observed that:

In no other medium could one virtually sit within 15 feet of a

political leader and watch his mind at work, study his manner and

moods and assess his general qualities. Here, at last, was a medium

where the speaker did not have to compete with conversation and

domestic activities as a voice from the background, in an attempt to

gain the attention of the elector. The television screen compels

attention.’ (Television and the Political Image, p.14, 1961)

In retrospect, the role of TV in the 1959 election was pretty dull and far from groundbreaking. The politicians did not know how to use the new medium: political interviews tended to be stilted, visually frozen and over-deferential; party political broadcasts resembled radio talks; politicians presented themselves to the cameras - when they remembered to do so at all - as if they were addressing a public meeting. In short, most of what happened on television replicated old campaigning traditions from a pre-TV age. By 1964, when Labour’s young, new leader, Harold Wilson, had learned to cultivate TV opportunities - much to the cost of his opponent, Alec Douglas Home - television started to play a pivotal role in election campaigns. It was arguably not until 2001 that the three main parties all had leaders who had grown up within and adapted themselves to a TV-dominated democracy.

The 2001 e-campaign was 1959 all over again. Everyone knew that the net was important, but few knew how to use it inventively. Old forms of publicity were replicated within a new medium: parties and candidates set up web sites that looked rather like printed brochures or low-budget TV shows or ads for insurance policies. It was a campaign of borrowed content showcased within a glossy new medium.

Three models of e-campaigning

In fact, there was not one e-campaign in 2001, but three, each trying to hit different targets, each performing different roles.

The e-marketing model

This model imported the methods of e-commerce to politics. E-commerce is concerned with selling goods and services via the web. E-politics campaigners were concerned to sell parties, policies and politicians via the web. As with all marketing campaigns, the criteria of success were measurable. Just as selling books or holidays on the web succeeds or fails in terms of how many books or holidays are sold that would not otherwise have been bought, e-campaigners would be judged ultimately in terms of seats won or lost, new members or activists attracted to their parties, amounts of online donations or requests for information.

The voter empowerment model

Much of what was offered online had little to do with traditional vote-seeking, but started from the assumption that voters were somehow under-represented and required strategies to fight back against the party machines and the media elite. There were four main elements within this model:

  1. Online irreverence. A plethora of web sites provided opportunities for voters to laugh at, reconstruct and humiliate the parties and politicians. These sites circulated virally at a stunning speed, creating a bush network of populist scoffs and sniggers, unprecedented since the yellow press of the 18th century. This genre was to the majority of under 35-year-olds who were not to vote on June 7 what the Today programme was for the political junkies - it was a cultural snub to the postures and affectations of party politics.

  2. Tactical voting. The several web sites which offered opportunities for electors to swap their votes with those in other constituencies, were a direct attack upon the aggregative outcomes of most electoral choices. Claiming to provide an alternative to wasted votes and a mechanism for voting against a selected greater evil, tactical voting sites offered voters the chance – or, at least, the illusion – of being able to transcend the traditional barriers of electoral arithmetic.

  3. Conversational politics. Web forums and e-mail lists offered spaces for public debate and informal conversation, enabling voters to exchange views with other voters.

  4. Narrowcasting. Several web sites targetted distinct groups of voters, ranging from gays to Muslims to teachers to the elderly. These sites reflected the fragmentary nature of the web and its capacity to narrowcast messages to and from specific sections of the electorate, traditionally overlooked by the broad canvass of broadcasting.

 

The e-democratic model

The first two models are concerned with utilising the internet as an instrumental power. But what about the internet as a social and political phenomenon in its own right? What did the parties – or anyone else, for that matter – have to say about the future of the internet, about the information society or e-democracy or the new economy? In the Scandinavian countries these issues have generated real debates in electoral politics, but in the UK this model was largely conspicuous by its absence from the election.

This is stranger still when one considers that the 2001 election took place within the context of a major anxiety about the disconnections between parties, Parliament and the people. The first week of the campaign was full of media reports about an allegedly apathetic electorate. The Conservatives accused Labour of being dominated by spin and unwilling to listen. Labour characterised the Tories as out of touch and incapable of learning from the electorate. On June 7, voters provided some credence to both main parties by staying away from the polls in greater numbers than at any time since the democratic franchise began.

One in four eligible citizens did not exercise their right to vote - as many as 62% of first-time voters and 55% of under-35-year-olds did not vote. The Government, elected with a bigger majority than any other since 1945 (apart from its own majority in 1997), received votes from only 25% of eligible voters – 20% fewer than the abstainers. Surely, this was the election in which the parties could usefully have been talking about how the internet could be used to re-engage citizens in democratic politics?

With the exception of a passing mention of ‘electronic consultations’ in the Liberal Democrat manifesto, the only reference to the internet in the entire campaign was a distractionary policy announcement by Labour about cracking down on online child molesters. This was hardly designed to inspire public confidence in the democratic potential of the net.

The Hansard e-democracy programme was developed to explore ways that parliamentary democracy could adapt to, and be invigorated by, the new information and communication technologies (ICTs.) Strengthening the relationship between representatives and represented could result in better-informed MPs, more connected and less frustrated citizens and a more legitimate democratically rooted Parliament. The objective here is not to replace Parliament by some technopopulist version of direct democracy, but to strengthen representative democracy. This will require a political will to explore the democratic opportunities offered by the inherent interactivity of digital media. Ironically, the e-marketing model of electioneering tended to steer clear of authentic interactivity – rightly so, from the no-risk perspective of traditional campaigning. Some critics, coming from the e-democratic perspective, berated the party web sites for not inviting voters to discuss their policies online. But this is to misunderstand the difference between selling policies and engaging citizens in the formulation of policy. The latter offers a counterweight to spin, superficiality and secrecy in democratic governance, but is unlikely to be adopted within the more aggressively competitive context of electoral politics.

 

The future of e-politics?

The extraordinary hype that preceded the US presidential election of 2000 and the subsequent debacle of the e-strategists (examined in our earlier report: Elections in the Age of the Internet: lessons from the United States) served to protect the UK election from the more embarrassing excesses of e-rhetoric. Few in Britain ever believed that the 2001 election would be won, lost or significantly affected by anything that happened on the internet. And they were right.

But there is a danger of such modest sobriety resulting in an exaggerated dismissal of the political role of the internet. There has been a tendency to see the internet in the 2001 election as a flash in the pan, an ephemeral encounter with a faddish distraction. This view is misguided for several reasons:

Apathy and Engagement

The 2001 election witnessed a watershed in voter disengagement. This may have been related to the particular circumstances of one election, but even if this is so, it is consistent with a long-term loss of interest or trust in the traditional democratic process by a number of socio-demographic groups.

Not only did 2001 see the lowest voter turnout since 1918; perhaps more importantly, it was the first election in which it was considered ‘cool’ to disengage. This was made pretty explicit on the web site of the popular Big Brother programme:

Voter Apathy?

THEY say apathy has gripped the country. They accuse the public of not caring. They sit in comfortable chairs laughing at you. Well, now’s your chance to bite back and prove to the nation that the election is important and that your vote really does matter.

The newspapers may pander to the political parties, but not Big Brother. On the site today we offer you – the esteemed viewer – the chance to take part in the vital referendum.

Forget the Euro, stealth taxes and spin, today Big Brother online is asking: Is the Big Brother Election more important than the General Election?

To put your cross on the ballot paper, simply click the polls icon on the home page and make your voice heard.

By registering your vote on the site before the 11th member of the house is finalised at 10:40pm tonight, you can show the world that England is still a freethinking, pro-active country that cares. We urge you to take part and show that this sleepy green-fielded nation is gripped by the freedom of choice, vis-à-vis Anne, Josh or Natasha.

Our manifesto is simple. We want to prove to the bureaucrats that people will not simply lie down in quiet awe, but stand up and be counted. Remember, a vote for Big Brother is a vote for democracy and freedom. You can make a difference. (1 June, 2001)

If future e-campaigns – by the parties, candidates and pressure groups – can capture the playfulness and voter-centredness of the joke, game and spoof sites that abounded in 2001, the internet may well play a key role in politically re-energising a turned-off generation. Rather than seeking to compete with traditional media for the attention of an ageing and dwindling population of news consumers, e-communicators should turn their attention to the majority for whom electoral politics has to be re-invented before it becomes fashionable.

Coming soon

We will not have to wait for the next general election to evaluate the significance of e-politics in the UK. If and when there is a referendum on joining the euro the net will play a key role. This will be a single-issue debate, involving passionate views on each side and a complexity of information that could be well served by the depth qualities of the net. The scope for streamlining online communications - by not having catch-all ‘Vote Yes’ or ‘Vote No’ web sites, but target sites for specific social groups - could contribute tangibly to voters’ sense of feeling informed or uninformed.

The next general election, expected in 2005 or 2006, will not simply be the UK’s second internet election, but possibly the last election in which personal computers will be the main access platform to the internet. The Government’s declared aim to switch off digital TV by the end of this decade means that the election after next could well be Britain’s first digital TV election – with all sets having interactive functions, including internet access and e-mail. Arguably, the incorporation of e-interactivity into the traditional domestic sphere will be the real coming of age of the net. In this sense, 2001 and the next elections could be seen as dress rehearsals for the coming arrival of universally accessible e-politics.

Dr Stephen Coleman

Director, Hansard e-democracy programme

e-democracy@lse.ac.uk

Spinning On The Web

E-Campaigning And Beyond

Stephen Coleman and Nicola Hall

This was the election in which everyone had to have a web site, though many who had them were not quite sure what to do with them. It was often a case of technology in search of a real purpose. In this chapter we look at how the parties used their web sites and other ICTs; how non-party web sites provided new features which gave voters more control over the election; how the traditional media went online; and what the public made of it all. Subsequent chapters will examine candidates’ sites, discussion sites and sites devoted to first-time voters.

I. How the parties used the web – e-politics meets e-commerce

Election campaigning is a form of political marketing. It is about selling a product (the party) to consumers (the electorate). E-campaigning is about using the internet and electronic communications, such as e-mail, SMS, PDA, WAP, digital television, online chat and discussions to enhance more traditional marketing methods.

In this section we look at how the three main parties used e-campaigning to complement traditional campaigning via television, radio, print, telephone and billboards. The similarities and differences between the e-campaigns of the three major parties are explored and the extent to which the parties utilised the potential of the internet to connect with the electorate is assessed.

The evidence presented here is based on daily monitoring of the party web sites; in-depth interviews with the three party web masters before and after the election period (Justin Jackson, Conservative Party Web master, Kate McCarthy and Andrew Saxton, Labour e-campaigns and Mark Pack, Liberal Democrat Web master) and a national poll, conducted by MORI specifically for this research.

Internet advantages

The internet offers four advantages over traditional campaign media:

  1. Multimedia – the internet offers the capacity to combine the visual, audio, print and video qualities of other media and can distribute text via e-mail for much less than the price of a postal mail-out.
  2. Personalisation – the internet provides targeted information at any level of depth for individuals and interest groups; it can adapt delivery according to users’ preferences via personalisation of content, e-mail and ‘narrowcasting’.
  3. Interactivity – the internet is dialogical, not monological as is the traditional media. Interaction, dialogue and feedback between hundreds of users is possible via ‘clickable’ links, e-mail, bulletin boards, discussion forums, chat rooms and newsgroups.
  4. Unmediated – the internet gives the parties direct access to the electorate and vice versa, without the intervention and manipulation of the media. For political parties, this means getting a message across to the electorate without intervention; for citizens this means getting information straight from the horse’s mouth.

How far did the parties capitalise on these four advantages and what did the internet campaigns really achieve? With the exception of tactical voting - considered below - there is little evidence that the internet was a decisive influence on voting. However, the success of an e-campaign can be judged on more than mere voting outcomes. This chapter argues that the e-campaigns were successful as far as they went; but failed to exploit the full potential of the internet.

The parties’ intentions

The main advantage of the internet to the parties was that it offered them a chance to address themselves directly to the electorate, without the intervention or interpretation of the media. When interviewed before the election was called, the three parties identified different reasons for running e-campaigns.

All three party e-strategists agreed that e-campaigning was just one tool alongside others. E-campaigning would serve a variety of purposes, some of which could also be done offline and some of which could only be done online.

 

Party web site features

Parties offered the following:

‘We can ‘disintermediate’ and do not have to rely on the media to get our message out. People who are interested can come and find out for themselves. All the copy on the web site is written specifically for the web site – why should the public have to read a press release when its not written for them?’ said Conservative web master, Justin Jackson. Online news proved a popular section of the web sites, transferring an offline delivery mechanism (leaflets through doors, television news) online. The advantages for the parties are manifold – news can be updated regularly to rebut damaging stories, given a flattering angle, and removed when necessary. For users, the advantage is instant access to the party’s version of events, although this may be just as manipulated and mediated as news from an alternative media source.

None of the parties offered a chat room or discussion forum. ‘They don’t seem to be a great success on other web sites. You tend to have a fairly low quality of postings - you don’t have a very good quality discussion.’ said Mark Pack of the Liberal Democrats.

The Labour Party used e-mails for the widest set of functions: to remind people to vote; to highlight certain issues and information; to elicit support and rally people to volunteer; and to rebut news stories. They sent out 32 daily e-mails, four weekly summary e-mails, 12 policy-specific e-mails, four e-mails from ruu4it? and a personal message from Tony Blair to everyone on the party records with an e-mail address. Their e-mail list included around 35,000 e-mail addresses.

The Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats used e-mail predominantly to highlight latest news stories and to invite people to test out new features on their web sites. For the parties, e-mail proved advantageous. E-mails provided a cheap and unmediated alternative delivery mechanism for news, enabling parties to draw attention to specific issues and reach the in-box of those who did not check the web site regularly or, via viral marketing, by forwarding e-mails to those who had not even contacted the party. By specifying areas of interest, users could receive particular information, but could not influence the volume received.

The Conservatives offered a password-protected media centre with PDA and WAP downloads of the day’s press releases as well as an SMS function: ‘You can click on a button and it will SMS the press officer for you.’ explained Web master Justin Jackson. These functions were well used by journalists.

Each of the parties offered certain unique functions:

Conservatives:

 

Labour:

The Conservatives discussed using viral SMS strategies but rejected them. ‘We weren’t sufficiently blinded by the technology to find a use for it where there wasn’t one.’ said Justin Jackson, Conservative web master.

Liberal Democrats:

Were the parties innovative?

Parties stood to gain from e-campaigning far more than the electorate. For the parties, the internet made campaigning easier, enabling cheaper, faster, broader, more efficient delivery of their messages to the electorate. All the benefits of audio (radio), visual (television) and textual (press and posters) forms could be combined so that the parties could express themselves on their own terms, without mediation by traditional media. The internet allowed the parties to store and present unlimited volumes of information and to generate, speed-up and automate supportive activities, such as fundraising and volunteering.

For those voters with access to the internet, the e-campaigns provided them with easier access to a selection of party information, such as specific sections of manifestos, speeches or party election broadcasts, retrievable at times that suited them, for as long as they wanted, without the selective and possibly biased interpretation of the media. The e-campaign undoubtedly gave voters direct access to more information from the parties than would have been disseminated to the public in previous elections. However, very little of what was available online was unique to the internet; much of it was merely the reformatting of existing offline content.

The internet was primarily used by the parties for the online delivery of previously offline marketing material. What was previously done on a billboard or leaflet was ‘e-ified’. In general, there was a lack of connection with the voters. Interactivity was limited to ineffective e-mail feedback channels and tentative attempts to create personalised content - such as the Conservatives’ ‘My Manifesto’ feature. Voters could not ‘answer back’ to the parties any more than they could before the arrival of the internet – and indeed, could respond a good deal less than in the days of local public meetings.

Of the four advantages of the internet mentioned earlier in this chapter, the parties have taken advantage only of the unmediated nature of the internet and, to some extent, its multimedia potential. They have not yet capitalised upon its interactivity or its personalisation abilities. As Kate McCarthy stated, ‘We won’t be [‘narrowcasting’] because we have limited resources and limited time. There are other things for us, bigger priorities.’

The parties’ failure to exploit the net’s interactivity and ability to personalise and ‘narrowcast’ content is reflective of the parties’ inability to interact with the public more generally. As party membership levels decline and voter turnout falls, the parties must address this question and reassess their e-campaign as part of a wider problem of disconnection. The internet is not a panacea for the problems of democracy, but it may serve, if its true capabilities are optimised, to strengthen the connection between parties and voters, as well as citizens and Parliament.

II. Empowering the voters – the public makes its mark

Much has been made of the open, interactive and often anarchic nature of the internet. Unlike broadcasting, it eludes centralised control mechanisms and can easily host a plethora of many-to-many communications.

Much of the literature on the development of online communication has predicted that the internet will become increasingly dominated by the major offline institutions and interests - such as corporations, governments, big parties and established media. This is sometimes referred to as the normalisation thesis. By contrast, others have advanced a mobilisation thesis, seeing the internet as providing for an opening up of the communication environment to greater opportunities for traditionally excluded, marginalised or under-resourced social groups and interests. Our research in this election did not attempt to explore fully the normalisation/mobilisation theories. To do so satisfactorily, one would need to have examined how marginal, fringe or independent candidates used ICTs for campaigning and whether the relatively inexpensive access to these new media resulted in significant pay-offs. For example, one would have wanted to look at whether the 10 Green candidates who saved their deposits operated a particularly strong online campaign - or whether candidates from less-resourced parties had new opportunities to further their political agendas and connect with voters as a result of e-campaigns.

Without seeking to draw any conclusions about normalisation or mobilisation, we can note that the internet opened some spaces for new kinds of information-sharing and communicating in the 2001 election which probably would not have emerged without it. These new opportunities benefited voters (and non-voters) by providing channels for a public mood of disenchantment with traditional electoral politics. This mood seemed to have been rooted in the following attitudinal trends:

The public felt under-represented in the political process as they perceived it - so the new opportunities offered by the internet served as strategies of the represented to make their feelings known. In an instrumental sense, none of these strategies could be seen to have produced tangible electoral effects (with the possible exception of online tactical voting.) But in an election where over 40% of the eligible population did not choose to vote, one should not judge political communication strategies purely in terms of their effects on votes cast.

Online irreverence

The 2001 election witnessed a mushrooming of political humour web sites. Almost daily e-mails would arrive with links to new sites, funnier caricatures of well-known candidates, more inventive (and destructive) ways of reconfiguring political images and new games loosely based upon electoral themes. There was a fervour about the spread of these sites, particularly among young people, that was unmissable.

The Prescott punch - an early moment of political drama in a visually dull campaign - gave rise to numerous web sites where one could punch, be punched by or enter into a contest with an animated John Prescott. (See www.panlogic.co.uk/splat_the_MP.html and www.sirsearchalot.com/biffa.htm and www.rancon.co.uk/prezza/main.html

Other sites enabled users to splat MPs with an egg (http://images.thisislondon.com/img/news/election2001/splatgame.html),

re-mix them in a blender (http://www.rubbershorts.com/spinon/games/blender/blenderprescott.html),

punch them (www.urban75.com/Punch/index.html),

make them dance (www.mtv.co.uk/content/fun/games/stereo_mps/index.html)

or play games with them (www.crouchingtony.com/ and www.thebrainstrust.co.uk/yatb/).

There were political anagram sites (www.anagrams.net/politics), fantasy politics sites (www.fantasyelection2001.com and www.amielectableornot.com) and sites telling people how to vote on the basis of online questionnaires (www.votemonkey.com and www.whodoivotefor.co.uk) These sites were wholly interactive, simple to follow and amusing to share with others. Often they were devastatingly cruel, such as the satire on the famous A-team: the C-team, featuring the Tory front bench (www.guydowman.com/Images/a-team.shtml).

What was going on here? These sites were about more than someone painting anarchist graffiti on a Town Hall wall. There were various anarchistic web sites, such as Vote Nobody (http://uk.geocities.com/votenobody/), Nun of the Above (www.nunoftheabove.org/), the abstention site (www.dontvote.org.uk/), Election fraud (www.electionfraud2001.org.uk/) and Guilty Party (www.guiltyparty.cc/), but these tended to be politically uninfluential precisely because they were trying to make political points. Spoof sites, such as www.williamhague.com, www.tonyblair.co.uk, www.robincook.org and www.annwiddecombe.com failed to cause the kind of confusion that parody Bush and Gore sites had in the US election – although there was one case of cyber-squatting in Wales, where the Liberal Democrats registered a site at www.plaid-cymru.co.uk, clearly intending to pick up voters looking for the Welsh nationalists.

Overall, online humour and games successfully tapped into a popular feeling about the disconnectedness of politics from people - especially young people. The parties should learn from these sites that the public (or a significant section of the online public, at least) wants a much more interactive use of web sites and a different style of relating to politics. This was the public that felt more comfortable with Have I Got News For You than the News at Ten.

Tactical voting

In all elections voters are faced with the problem of their one vote counting for little within the overall aggregation of votes cast. Although few voters are familiar with the theoretical aspects of rational choice theory and its conclusion that most votes cast do not determine the election results; many feel frustrated because they cannot possibly vote for the candidate of their choice with any realistic expectation of affecting the result. Tactical voting is one way in which voters can collaborate to oust least preferred candidates. The www.stophague.com web site offered this explanation of its strategy:

TACTICAL voting is a democratic means of ensuring that an unwanted party does not win the election by voting for the next strongest candidate, regardless of party affiliation. For example, if you are registered to vote in Kingston and Surbiton- where Labour cannot win- you would vote for Edward Davey, the Liberal Democrat candidate, to ensure that William Hague's candidate is not elected. Voters from Wimbledon- where the Lib Dems can't win- would support Labour's Roger Casale over Hague's candidate. This way, both Liberal Democrat and Labour supporters can hold critical marginal constituencies, instead of losing them to Hague's followers.

Tactical voting existed long before the advent of online politics. It has never been an officially sanctioned party policy, so channels have not existed for party supporters in different constituencies to swap votes. The web is a perfect medium for such distant transactions.

The www.tacticalvoter.net site - supported by the New Politics Network - was inspired by the US Nader Traders in 2000. Other tactical voting sites included www.keepthetoriesout.co.uk, www.toryfreescotland.com, tactical voting wizard http://users.eastlink.ca/~srgl/election2001.htm, www.votebasingstoke.f25s.com

and www.votedorset.org, set up by singer, Billy Bragg, as an attempt to oust the Conservative incumbents in three marginal Dorset constituencies.

Voters going to tactical voting sites registered their names, e-mail addresses and constituencies and were then put in touch with voters from other constituencies with whom they could agree to swap votes. Such swaps or vote-trades served as strategies for beating the odds of the first-past-the-post electoral system. The largest of the vote-swapping sites - www.tacticalvoter.net - claimed to receive as many as 200,000 visitors during the election campaign and 8,153 unique pledges by voters to swap their votes.

Did tactical voting, organised online, change any results? In two constituencies there is strong evidence that this did happen:

Were vote-swapping sites legal? On the face of it, voters are quite at liberty to enter into voluntary arrangements with one another about how to cast their votes. Ian Bruce, in Dorset South, complained to the Information Commissioner that www.votedorset.org was in contravention of the Data Protection Act, in that it was collecting and disseminating personal data without a licence. The Conservatives also filed a complaint with the Electoral Commission about the www.stophague.com web site, claiming that if it constituted a ‘third-party’ donation of over £500, it had to be declared as an election expense. Neither objection was upheld, but it would be surprising if we did not see further wrangles in the future about the legality of vote-swapping web sites.

Customising politics

The 2001 election saw the rise of a number of community and interest-based web sites which reflected a more personalised, consumer-targeted trend that may well come to the fore in future elections. Sites like www.vote-environment.org.uk, the Asian voters’ www.zindagee.co.uk, www.education-election.com, set up by the National Union of Teachers, the gay site www.gayvote.co.uk, the Muslim site www.votesmart.org.uk and the Christian www.makethecrosscount.com were interesting examples of how the web can help to organise distinct groups of voters. 2001 also witnessed the emergence of factional, internal-party sites, with Conservative eurosceptics promoting www.imperial-tories.com and the National Association of Ted Heath Burners at www.surf.to/heath.

Some target sites were particularly impressive in highlighting aspects of the electoral agenda that might otherwise have been missed. Advocacy Online’s site for older voters (www.advocacyonline.net/learn_say.jsp) - run in collaboration with Age Concern - was a model of how to conduct effective and accessible online lobbying.

The site included details on how to contact local candidates, a manifesto for older people and a well-used discussion forum. Oneworld.net’s Vote For Me site (www.oneworld.net/uk/election/index.html) did a superb job in directing public attention to global issues that are all too often neglected during election campaigns.

III The online media – what were the information bonuses?

This was the first UK election in which traditional media coverage moved online. In 1997 no national newspaper or broadcaster ran an online election service of any sophistication. The GE97 web site, set up by a commercial company called Online Magic, was unique in covering the election online. In 2001, every major broadcaster and broadsheet newspaper (though not the tabloids, which remained resolutely offline) had an online presence.

Thanks to the online media sites, the 2001 electorate was exposed to more information - freely available and from several perspectives - than any generation of voters since the rise of the mass franchise. It is easy to overlook the extent to which the internet has established an era of information abundance. But what were the information bonuses for voters from the online media? What could voters find online that was new and useful?

Two media web sites excelled above all others in 2001: BBC News Online and the Guardian Politics site. The former started life in 1996; the latter was launched just before the 2001 election was called. Both offered a number of key information bonuses:

The BBC Vote 2001 site included sections on:

Guardian Interactive’s Election 2001 site included:

These sites proved to be immensely popular. On average, there were half a million page views on each day of the campaign for BBC’s Vote 2001. The high point for the site was election night and Friday, 8 June when people wanted immediate, specific information - often about their own constituencies. After the polls closed on 7 June, the BBC site clocked up 2 million page views; on Friday it had 15.75 million page views – 50% more than the number of pages viewed at BBC News Online in last November’s US election coverage.

The Guardian’s Election 2001 site … (stats to come)

But the success of the online media sites was about more than hits and page site views (which are not easily translatable into unique visitors.) BBC News Online, the Guardian and, to an extent, Channel 4’s rather flashy and irreverent election site (www.channel4.com/plus/election2001/archive/index.html), were exemplary illustrations of how the internet can provide genuine information bonuses for voters who do not want to be dependent on broadcast or broadsheet coverage.

Features like BBC News Online’s Persuade me to vote really went to the heart of the ‘apathy’ debate (as did C4’s Politics Isn’t Working); the Guardian’s Aristotle database enabled users to seek politically useful information that would have been difficult and time-consuming to find; access to online poll data allowed users to interpret the poll trends for themselves; and features such as BBC News Online’s sound and video archives of past elections were real gems for political junkies.

In addition, there were excellent local election sites: BBC News Online had special links to broad coverage of the campaigns in Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland; the BBC London Live site (www.bbc.co.uk/londonlive/metropol/election/index.shtm) was a superb example of how to make election coverage relevant to a diverse, urban population; the BBC Newsround site and Guardian Learn Direct/Y-Vote sites succeeded in connecting pre-voters to the election by making the most of the interactivity of the medium. None of these were attempts to replace the broadcast media or the press, but all of them supplemented the old media in ways that helped to make the election more direct, accessible and meaningful for significant numbers of people.

Although the big offline media organisations dominated online coverage, some new online enterprises made their mark: www.e-politix.com provided thrice daily e-mail newsletters on latest election events which were a bonus for news junkies; www.YouGov.com ran its impressive online polls throughout the election and usefully hosted the online part of the British Election Survey; towards the end of the campaign Communities Online put up an election site (www.co-democracy.org.uk ) which could serve as a networking model for future elections.

IV The public’s reaction

How did the public use the internet during the election campaign? To find out, some poll questions were commissioned from MORI; these were placed on MORI’s General Public Omnibus Survey and were asked to a representative sample of 1,999 adults aged over 18 in face-to-face interviews at home between 21 and 26 June 2001.

How many of them had access to the internet?

US polls about e-politics have tended to find that online citizens are significantly more likely to vote than those without internet access. This was not the case in the UK election of 2001, where 23% of respondents without internet access did not vote as against 25% who were online. This is explained by the high number of young non-voters with internet access being outweighed by the high number of older voters who are least likely to be online. The only party that had significantly more votes from online than offline voters were the Liberal Democrats.

We then asked those respondents who did have access to the internet or e-mail what they used it for during the election campaign:

Men were more likely to do most of these activities than women (for example, twice as many men as women visited media sites to find out about the election), but more women than men sent or received e-mails about the election.

5% of Labour and Lib Dem voters went to the humour and games sites, but only 3% of Conservative voters. But, interestingly, visitors to the irreverent humour sites were not mainly disaffected non-voters - only 1% of non-voters went there compared to 6% of those who voted.

What kind of information were those who were online looking for?

We would have predicted that Liberal Democrat and Labour voters would have been considerably more interested in using the internet to find out more about tactical voting, but found that exactly the same number of respondents from each main party did this - perhaps Conservatives were visiting such sites to size up the threat.

Interestingly, one in five (21%) of 18-24 year-old respondents used the internet to find out what the parties’ policies were, compared with only 8% of 25-44 year-olds and 12% of 55-64 year-olds. Young people are more used to the internet as a source of information and are turning to it in significantly high numbers to make sense of the policies on offer to them.

We then asked how important overall the internet and e-mail were in providing our respondents with information that helped to decide how they voted.

The internet and e-mail influenced the voting choices of twice as many Liberal Democrats (9%) as Conservatives (5%) and had much more influence upon 18-24 year-olds (17% of whom reported that the internet was a very or fairly important influence on their voting) than upon older voters, under 5% of whom reported any e-influence upon their voting.

These findings point to a trend: younger voters are much more interested in the internet as a route to politics than are older voters; these are the voters of the future, so e-politics is here to stay and in future elections this generation of voters and those following them will be targeted much more successfully by e-campaigners. The lesson for the euro referendum, if it happens, is that there will be many younger voters, whose votes may well be decisive, looking to the internet to explain the issues to them in their own terms.

 

Dr Stephen Coleman is Director of the Hansard Society E-Democracy Programme. Nicola Hall is Researcher on the E-Democracy Programme